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Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 3 · Netherlands

ACV v DVS 33 Ermelo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

ACV v DVS 33 Ermelo: the model read

ACV meet DVS 33 Ermelo in the Derde Divisie regular season - 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors ACV on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans ACV at 51%; double chance reads ACV or draw 65%, DVS 33 Ermelo or draw 64%.

ACV arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Hollandia, W 1-0 v TEC, W 4-2 @ Ijsselmeervogels, W 1-0 v Koninklijke HFC.

DVS 33 Ermelo are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Harkemase Boys, L 1-2 @ SC Genemuiden, L 0-3 @ GVVV Veenendaal, D 2-2 v Rijnvogels.

DVS 33 Ermelo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: ACV 2-1 DVS 33 Ermelo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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ACV

LWWWW8-4-8

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WAHollandia2-0
  • WHTEC1-0
  • WAIjsselmeervogels4-2
  • WHKoninklijke HFC1-0
  • LHQuick Boys1-2

DVS 33 Ermelo

LDLLL7-6-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LHHarkemase Boys0-1
  • LASC Genemuiden1-2
  • LAGVVV Veenendaal0-3
  • DHRijnvogels2-2
  • LARijnvogels0-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

ACVrecordDVS 33 Ermelo
1
3
0 draws

Goals

3-7

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

ACV

Recent
WLLL
Wins 1Goals 3-7

Biggest win 2-1

DVS 33 Ermelo

Recent
LWWW
Wins 3Goals 7-3

Biggest win 2-0

  • ACV2-1DVS 33 Ermelo
  • DVS 33 Ermelo2-0ACV
  • ACV1-3DVS 33 Ermelo
  • DVS 33 Ermelo1-0ACV

Managers

Robin Witte

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.