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Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 2 · Netherlands

EVV v Dongen

2-3Full time

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EVV v Dongen: the model read

EVV meet Dongen in the Derde Divisie regular season - 2.

Dongen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Dongen, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Dongen on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Dongen at 63%; double chance reads EVV or draw 53%, Dongen or draw 73%.

EVV arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Dongen, L 2-3 @ GOES, L 3-10 @ Ijsselmeervogels, D 2-2 v MVV.

Dongen are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.

EVV hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: EVV 2-3 Dongen.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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EVV

DDLLL5-3-12

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 2.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHDongen2-3
  • LAGOES2-3
  • LAIjsselmeervogels3-10
  • DHMVV2-2
  • DHSteDoCo1-1

Dongen

WDWWW8-5-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • WAEVV3-2
  • WHZwaluwen4-0
  • WAHeerjansdam2-1
  • DHHeerjansdam1-1
  • WASVV Scheveningen2-0

Head-to-head

5 meetings

EVVrecordDongen
2
1
2 draws

Goals

7-5

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

EVV

Recent
LWDWD
Wins 2Goals 7-5

Biggest win 2-0

Dongen

Recent
WLDLD
Wins 1Goals 5-7

Biggest win 3-2

  • EVV2-3Dongen
  • Dongen0-2EVV
  • EVV1-1Dongen
  • EVV1-0Dongen
  • Dongen1-1EVV

Managers

D. Vergoossen

Netherlands · 53

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Fortuna Sittard2022–2022

O. Erbas

Netherlands · 50

In charge since 2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.