Torrijos v Tarancón: the model read
Torrijos meet Tarancón in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 group 18 - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Tarancón on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Torrijos arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Tarancón, W 1-0 @ Guadalajara II, W 3-0 v San Clemente, D 3-3 @ Albacete II.
Tarancón are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Torrijos, L 0-1 v Illescas, L 0-1 v Manchego, D 0-0 @ Manchego.
Torrijos hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torrijos 1-0 Tarancón.
The market prices TOR at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
