Almansa v La Solana: the model read
Almansa meet La Solana in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 group 18 - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Almansa, 42% against 28%. Attacking output favors Almansa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Almansa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v La Solana, L 2-3 @ Noblejas, W 3-0 @ Conquense, D 1-1 v Quintanar del Rey.
La Solana are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Almansa, L 0-1 v Manchego, L 0-1 @ Calvo Sotelo, W 4-1 v San Clemente.
The market prices ALM at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
