Beasain v Durango: the model read
Beasain meet Durango in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Beasain on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Beasain arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Durango, L 0-2 @ Touring, D 0-0 @ Aretxabaleta, W 2-0 v Santurtzi.
Durango are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Beasain, D 0-0 v Aretxabaleta, L 1-2 @ Santurtzi, D 3-3 v San Ignacio.
Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beasain 1-2 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
