Santurtzi v Durango: the model read
Santurtzi meet Durango in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Santurtzi arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Durango, L 0-2 @ Beasain, L 1-3 @ Eibar III, L 1-4 @ Durango.
Durango are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Santurtzi, D 3-3 v San Ignacio, W 4-1 v Santurtzi, L 0-4 @ Real Sociedad III.
Santurtzi hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santurtzi 2-1 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
