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Cup · Round of 64 · Poland

Widzew II v Polonia Bytom

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Widzew II v Polonia Bytom

Widzew II meet Polonia Bytom in the Cup round of 64.

Widzew II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1528. Recent form leans Widzew II, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Widzew II on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.1 per match.

Widzew II arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Wisła Płock II, W 4-3 @ Olimpia Zambrów, W 4-1 v Polonia Lidzbark Warm., W 2-0 @ Olimpia Elbląg.

Polonia Bytom are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Podbeskidzie, D 1-1 @ Arka Gdynia, D 2-2 v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, L 2-5 @ Stal Mielec.

The market prices WID at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on Widzew II: a 22.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Widzew II

DWWWL13-1-6

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LHWisła Płock II0-2
  • WAOlimpia Zambrów4-3
  • WHPolonia Lidzbark Warm.4-1
  • WAOlimpia Elbląg2-0
  • DHSwit0-0

Polonia Bytom

DLDDD7-4-6

Scored 2.12 · Conceded 1.94 · Clean sheets 23.5% · BTTS 76.5%

  • DHPodbeskidzie0-0
  • DAArka Gdynia1-1
  • DHPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2
  • LAStal Mielec2-5
  • DHPogoń Siedlce2-2

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