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Premier League · Regular Season - 4 · Egypt

El Mokawloon v Al Ahly

· Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

El Mokawloon v Al Ahly: the model read

El Mokawloon meet Al Ahly in the Premier League regular season - 4 at Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo.

Al Ahly rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1466. Recent form leans Al Ahly, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Al Ahly on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

El Mokawloon arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v AL Masry, L 0-1 @ El Geish, W 3-1 v Future FC, D 2-2 @ Kahraba Ismailia.

Al Ahly are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Masr, W 3-2 v Enppi, L 1-2 @ Barcelona, W 2-0 @ AL Masry.

Al Ahly hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: El Mokawloon 1-3 Al Ahly.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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El Mokawloon

DDWLL4-12-4

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAL Masry2-3
  • LAEl Geish0-1
  • WHFuture FC3-1
  • DAKahraba Ismailia2-2
  • DHWadi Degla1-1

Al Ahly

WWLWW10-5-5

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WAMasr2-0
  • WHEnppi3-2
  • LABarcelona1-2
  • WAAL Masry2-0
  • WHEnppi3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

El MokawloonrecordAl Ahly
1
6
3 draws

Goals

9-18

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

El Mokawloon

Recent
LWLLLL
Wins 1Goals 9-18

Biggest win 3-0

Al Ahly

Recent
WLWWWW
Wins 6Goals 18-9

Biggest win 4-0

  • El Mokawloon1-3Al Ahly
  • Al Ahly0-3El Mokawloon
  • Al Ahly4-0El Mokawloon
  • El Mokawloon1-2Al Ahly
  • El Mokawloon1-4Al Ahly
  • Al Ahly2-1El Mokawloon
  • Al Ahly1-1El Mokawloon
  • El Mokawloon0-0Al Ahly
  • Al Ahly1-1El Mokawloon
  • Al Ahly1-0El Mokawloon

Managers

Samy Elsoudany

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Jess Thorup

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.