Where the market is wrong on Abu Qair Semad v Al Ittihad
Abu Qair Semad meet Al Ittihad in the Premier League regular season - 3 at Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Abu Qair Semad, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Abu Qair Semad on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Abu Qair Semad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pyramids FC, W 1-0 v National Bank of Egypt, W 4-0 v Raya Ghazl, D 0-0 @ Tersana.
Al Ittihad are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Ceramica Cleopatra, D 0-0 @ Zamalek SC, D 2-2 @ National Bank of Egypt, W 3-0 v Ismaily SC.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2024: Al Ittihad 0-0 Abu Qair Semad.
The market prices ABU at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Abu Qair Semad: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
