Where the market is wrong on Al Ahly v Smouha SC
Al Ahly meet Smouha SC in the Premier League regular season - 3 at Cairo International Stadium, Cairo.
Al Ahly rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1431. Recent form leans Al Ahly, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Al Ahly on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Al Ahly arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Masr, W 3-2 v Enppi, L 1-2 @ Barcelona, W 2-0 @ AL Masry.
Smouha SC are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Asyut Petrol, L 0-1 @ AL Masry, L 1-2 @ Pyramids FC, L 0-1 v Zamalek SC.
Al Ahly hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Ahly 2-1 Smouha SC.
The market prices AL at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Smouha SC: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
