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Reserve League · Clausura - 11 · Argentina

Tigre Res. v Gimnasia La Plata Res.

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Tigre Res. v Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Tigre Res. meet Gimnasia La Plata Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 11.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gimnasia La Plata Res., 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Tigre Res. on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.

Tigre Res. arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Gimnasia La Plata Res., L 1-2 @ Defensa y Justicia Res., L 1-5 @ Unión Santa Fe Res., W 2-0 v Atlético Tucumán Res..

Gimnasia La Plata Res. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tigre Res., W 2-0 v Estudiantes La Plata Res, W 2-0 v San Lorenzo Res., D 0-0 @ Vélez Sársfield Res..

Tigre Res. hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tigre Res. 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata Res..

The market prices TIG at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimnasia La Plata Res.: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tigre Res.

DWLLW6-3-11

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • WHGimnasia La Plata Res.2-1
  • LADefensa y Justicia Res.1-2
  • LAUnión Santa Fe Res.1-5
  • WHAtlético Tucumán Res.2-0
  • DAGodoy Cruz Res.2-2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

LDWWL6-7-7

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 25%

  • LATigre Res.1-2
  • WHEstudiantes La Plata Res2-0
  • WHSan Lorenzo Res.2-0
  • DAVélez Sársfield Res.0-0
  • LHRiver Plate Res.0-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Tigre Res.recordGimnasia La Plata Res.
3
0
1 draw

Goals

7-4

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Tigre Res.

Recent
WWWD
Wins 3Goals 7-4

Biggest win 2-1

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Recent
LLLD
Wins 0Goals 4-7
  • Tigre Res.2-1Gimnasia La Plata Res.
  • Gimnasia La Plata Res.1-2Tigre Res.
  • Tigre Res.1-0Gimnasia La Plata Res.
  • Tigre Res.2-2Gimnasia La Plata Res.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.