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Lemeister
Reserve League · Clausura - 9 · Argentina

Lanús Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.

3-3Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Lanús Res. v Independiente Riva. Res.

Lanús Res. meet Independiente Riva. Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 9.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lanús Res., 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Lanús Res. on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Lanús Res. arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Independiente Riva. Res., L 1-4 @ Deportivo Riestra Res., W 3-1 v Belgrano Córdoba Res., W 2-0 @ Colón Res..

Independiente Riva. Res. are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Lanús Res., W 1-0 v Newell's Old Boys Res., L 0-4 @ Defensa y Justicia Res., D 1-1 v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2.

Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Lanús Res. 3-3 Independiente Riva. Res..

The market prices LAN at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Independiente Riva. Res.: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Lanús Res.

WWWLD10-3-7

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DHIndependiente Riva. Res.3-3
  • LADeportivo Riestra Res.1-4
  • WHBelgrano Córdoba Res.3-1
  • WAColón Res.2-0
  • WANewell's Old Boys Res.2-1

Independiente Riva. Res.

LDLWD7-3-10

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • DALanús Res.3-3
  • WHNewell's Old Boys Res.1-0
  • LADefensa y Justicia Res.0-4
  • DHEstudiantes Rio Cuarto 21-1
  • LAHuracán Res.0-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Lanús Res.recordIndependiente Riva. Res.
0
0
2 draws

Goals

4-4

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Lanús Res.

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 4-4

Independiente Riva. Res.

Recent
DD
Wins 0Goals 4-4
  • Lanús Res.3-3Independiente Riva. Res.
  • Independiente Riva. Res.1-1Lanús Res.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.