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Canada v Chile

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Canada v Chile: the model read

Canada meet Chile in the Friendlies friendly international.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Chile are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Congo DR, L 1-2 @ Portugal, L 1-4 @ New Zealand, W 4-2 v Cape Verde Islands.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2024: Canada 0-0 Chile.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Chile

WWLLW7-3-9

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 52.6%

  • WACongo DR2-1
  • LAPortugal1-2
  • LANew Zealand1-4
  • WHCape Verde Islands4-2
  • WHPeru2-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

CanadarecordChile
0
0
1 draw

Goals

0-0

for each

Avg goals

0.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Canada

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 0-0

Chile

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 0-0
  • Canada0-0Chile

Managers

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018
Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.