Skip to content
Lemeister
Women's Championship · Regular Season - 1 · England

Durham W v Southampton W

1-3Full time· Maiden Castle, Durham

Share
Sign in for alerts
Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Durham W v Southampton W

Durham W meet Southampton W in the Women's Championship regular season - 1 at Maiden Castle, Durham.

Southampton W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Southampton W, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Southampton W on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Durham W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Southampton W, W 1-0 @ Newcastle United W, W 2-1 v Sheffield United W, D 2-2 v Bristol City W.

Southampton W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Durham W, W 3-0 @ Nottingham Forest W, D 2-2 v Charlton Athletic W, W 5-2 v Sheffield United W.

Durham W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Durham W 1-3 Southampton W.

The market prices DUR at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Southampton W: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Durham W

LDWWL3-7-10

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 75%

  • LHSouthampton W1-3
  • WANewcastle United W1-0
  • WHSheffield United W2-1
  • DHBristol City W2-2
  • LANottingham Forest W1-2

Southampton W

WWDWW9-3-8

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WADurham W3-1
  • WANottingham Forest W3-0
  • DHCharlton Athletic W2-2
  • WHSheffield United W5-2
  • WAIpswich Town W2-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Durham WrecordSouthampton W
3
2
4 draws

Goals

7-7

for each

Avg goals

1.6

per game

BTTS

44%

both scored

Over 2.5

22%

3+ goals

Durham W

Recent
LDDWDW
Wins 3Goals 7-7

Biggest win 1-0

Southampton W

Recent
WDDLDL
Wins 2Goals 7-7

Biggest win 3-1

  • Durham W1-3Southampton W
  • Durham W0-0Southampton W
  • Southampton W1-1Durham W
  • Durham W1-0Southampton W
  • Southampton W1-1Durham W
  • Durham W1-0Southampton W
  • Southampton W2-1Durham W
  • Southampton W0-1Durham W
  • Durham W0-0Southampton W

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded →
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.