Where the market is wrong on Reggiana v Spezia
Reggiana meet Spezia in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spezia, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Spezia on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Reggiana arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Perugia, W 1-0 v Latina, W 4-1 @ Vis Pesaro, D 1-1 @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Spezia are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Pescara, W 3-1 v Vis Pesaro, W 3-0 @ Perugia, W 2-0 v Livorno.
Reggiana hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spezia 0-1 Reggiana.
The market prices REG at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Spezia: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
