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Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 7 · Italy

Livorno v Pianese

3-2Full time· Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno· Referee: S. Gavini

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Livorno v Pianese

Livorno meet Pianese in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 7 at Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno.

Livorno rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans Livorno, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Livorno on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Livorno arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Pianese, D 1-1 @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937, W 3-2 v Vado, L 0-2 @ Spezia.

Pianese are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Livorno, D 1-1 v Sambenedettese, L 1-2 @ Torres, D 0-0 v Grosseto.

Pianese hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Livorno 3-2 Pianese.

The market prices LIV at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Pianese: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Livorno

WLWDW8-7-5

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHPianese3-2
  • DAGuidonia Montecelio 19371-1
  • WHVado3-2
  • LASpezia0-2
  • WHAtalanta II1-0

Pianese

LDLDL3-11-6

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LALivorno2-3
  • DHSambenedettese1-1
  • LATorres1-2
  • DHGrosseto0-0
  • LAGuidonia Montecelio 19370-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

LivornorecordPianese
1
4
3 draws

Goals

10-16

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

88%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Livorno

Recent
WLLDDL
Wins 1Goals 10-16

Biggest win 3-2

Pianese

Recent
LWWDDW
Wins 4Goals 16-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Livorno3-2Pianese
  • Livorno1-2Pianese
  • Pianese2-1Livorno
  • Livorno1-1Pianese
  • Pianese1-1Livorno
  • Pianese3-1Livorno
  • Livorno2-2Pianese
  • Pianese3-0Livorno

Managers

P. Indiani

Italy · 71

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Arezzo2022–2024
  • San Donato Tavarnelle2020–2022
  • Pistoiese2017–2018
  • Pontedera2012–2017

A. Formisano

Italy · 35

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Perugia2023–2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.