Where the market is wrong on Kalsdorf v Weiz
Kalsdorf meet Weiz in the Regionalliga - South south - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Weiz on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 89%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Weiz at 54%; double chance reads Kalsdorf or draw 60%, Weiz or draw 66%.
Kalsdorf arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Weiz, W 2-1 @ Gleisdorf 09, W 5-2 v Allerheiligen, W 1-0 @ Tillmitsch.
Weiz are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Kalsdorf, D 0-0 @ Allerheiligen, W 4-0 v Deutschlandsberger SC, L 1-2 @ SV Lafnitz.
Kalsdorf hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kalsdorf 1-1 Weiz.
The market prices KAL at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Weiz: a 19.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
