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FA WSL · Regular Season - 6 · England

Arsenal W v Birmingham City W

· Emirates Stadium, London

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Arsenal W v Birmingham City W: the model read

Arsenal W meet Birmingham City W in the FA WSL regular season - 6 at Emirates Stadium, London.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Arsenal W, 70% against 53%. Attacking output favors Arsenal W on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.

Arsenal W arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Paris FC W, L 0-1 @ Chelsea W, W 1-0 v Køge W, D 1-1 v Manchester United W.

Birmingham City W are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Liverpool W, D 3-3 v Crystal Palace W, L 0-2 @ Everton W, L 0-2 @ Chelsea W.

Arsenal W hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Arsenal W 4-2 Birmingham City W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Arsenal W

DDWLD12-4-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • DAParis FC W2-2
  • LAChelsea W0-1
  • WHKøge W1-0
  • DHManchester United W1-1
  • DHCrystal Palace W0-0

Birmingham City W

DLLDL9-3-8

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHLiverpool W3-4
  • DHCrystal Palace W3-3
  • LAEverton W0-2
  • LAChelsea W0-2
  • DHBrighton W2-2

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Arsenal WrecordBirmingham City W
7
2
0 draws

Goals

20-10

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Arsenal W

Recent
WLWWWW
Wins 7Goals 20-10

Biggest win 4-0

Birmingham City W

Recent
LWLLLL
Wins 2Goals 10-20

Biggest win 3-0

  • Arsenal W4-2Birmingham City W
  • Birmingham City W2-0Arsenal W
  • Birmingham City W0-4Arsenal W
  • Arsenal W3-0Birmingham City W
  • Arsenal W2-0Birmingham City W
  • Birmingham City W0-1Arsenal W
  • Arsenal W3-1Birmingham City W
  • Birmingham City W3-0Arsenal W
  • Arsenal W3-2Birmingham City W

Managers

Renee Slegers

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Amy Merricks

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.