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FA WSL · Regular Season - 2 · England

Aston Villa W v Manchester City W

1-4Full time· Villa Park, Birmingham· Referee: D. Brown

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Aston Villa W v Manchester City W: the model read

Aston Villa W meet Manchester City W in the FA WSL regular season - 2 at Villa Park, Birmingham.

Manchester City W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1753 to 1400. Recent form leans Manchester City W, 83% against 28%. Attacking output favors Manchester City W on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.3 per match.

Aston Villa W arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Manchester City W, D 1-1 @ Chelsea W, L 1-2 @ London City Lionesses W, L 0-3 v Arsenal W.

Manchester City W are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 18 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Aston Villa W, W 3-1 v Birmingham City W, W 4-0 @ Brighton W, W 4-1 @ West Ham W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Aston Villa W

LLLDL4-3-13

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LHManchester City W1-4
  • DAChelsea W1-1
  • LALondon City Lionesses W1-2
  • LHArsenal W0-3
  • LHWest Ham W0-2

Manchester City W

WWWWW16-1-3

Scored 3.00 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 45%

  • WAAston Villa W4-1
  • WHBirmingham City W3-1
  • WABrighton W4-0
  • WAWest Ham W4-1
  • WAChelsea W3-2

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.