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J2 League · Regular Season - 8 · Japan

Montedio Yamagata v Sagan Tosu

· Yamagata Park Stadium, Tendo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Montedio Yamagata v Sagan Tosu: the model read

Montedio Yamagata meet Sagan Tosu in the J2 League regular season - 8 at Yamagata Park Stadium, Tendo.

Sagan Tosu rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1477. Recent form leans Sagan Tosu, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sagan Tosu on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Montedio Yamagata arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Ventforet Kofu, W 3-0 @ Imabari, L 3-5 v Fujieda MYFC, W 2-0 v Yokohama FC.

Sagan Tosu are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Tegevajaro Miyazaki, W 2-1 @ Nara Club, D 2-2 @ Yokohama FC, W 4-0 v Kataller Toyama.

Sagan Tosu hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Montedio Yamagata 3-2 Sagan Tosu.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Montedio Yamagata

LWLWL8-1-11

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHVentforet Kofu1-2
  • WAImabari3-0
  • LHFujieda MYFC3-5
  • WHYokohama FC2-0
  • LAShonan Bellmare0-1

Sagan Tosu

LWDWW11-6-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2-0
  • WANara Club2-1
  • DAYokohama FC2-2
  • WHKataller Toyama4-0
  • LHTochigi City1-3

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Montedio YamagatarecordSagan Tosu
2
4
0 draws

Goals

9-12

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Montedio Yamagata

Recent
WLLLLW
Wins 2Goals 9-12

Biggest win 3-2

Sagan Tosu

Recent
LWWWWL
Wins 4Goals 12-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • Montedio Yamagata3-2Sagan Tosu
  • Sagan Tosu2-1Montedio Yamagata
  • Sagan Tosu4-3Montedio Yamagata
  • Montedio Yamagata1-3Sagan Tosu
  • Sagan Tosu1-0Montedio Yamagata
  • Montedio Yamagata1-0Sagan Tosu

Managers

Akinobu Yokouchi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Akio Kogiku

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.