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J2 League · Regular Season - 5 · Japan

Sagan Tosu v Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2-0Full time· Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu

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Sagan Tosu v Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the model read

Sagan Tosu meet Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League regular season - 5 at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors Sagan Tosu on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Sagan Tosu arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Tegevajaro Miyazaki, W 2-1 @ Nara Club, D 2-2 @ Yokohama FC, W 4-0 v Kataller Toyama.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sagan Tosu, L 1-2 v Kataller Toyama, L 2-4 @ Vegalta Sendai, W 1-0 @ Jubilo Iwata.

Sagan Tosu hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sagan Tosu

LWDWW11-6-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2-0
  • WANara Club2-1
  • DAYokohama FC2-2
  • WHKataller Toyama4-0
  • LHTochigi City1-3

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

DWLLL10-5-5

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • LASagan Tosu0-2
  • LHKataller Toyama1-2
  • LAVegalta Sendai2-4
  • WAJubilo Iwata1-0
  • DHShonan Bellmare0-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Sagan TosurecordTegevajaro Miyazaki
2
1
1 draw

Goals

9-4

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Sagan Tosu

Recent
WDLW
Wins 2Goals 9-4

Biggest win 5-1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Recent
LDWL
Wins 1Goals 4-9

Biggest win 2-1

  • Sagan Tosu2-0Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  • Sagan Tosu1-1Tegevajaro Miyazaki
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki2-1Sagan Tosu
  • Sagan Tosu5-1Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Managers

Akio Kogiku

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Yuji Okuma

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.