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J2 League · Regular Season - 3 · Japan

Sagan Tosu v Tochigi City

1-3Full time· Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sagan Tosu v Tochigi City: the model read

Sagan Tosu meet Tochigi City in the J2 League regular season - 3 at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sagan Tosu, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sagan Tosu on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Sagan Tosu at 65%; double chance reads Sagan Tosu or draw 75%, Tochigi City or draw 55%.

Sagan Tosu arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Kataller Toyama, L 1-3 v Tochigi City, D 0-0 @ Tokushima Vortis, W 2-0 v Ventforet Kofu.

Tochigi City are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Vegalta Sendai, W 3-1 @ Sagan Tosu, W 5-0 v Vanraure Hachinohe, L 0-2 @ Montedio Yamagata.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sagan Tosu

WWDLW12-5-3

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 0.65 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • WHKataller Toyama4-0
  • LHTochigi City1-3
  • DATokushima Vortis0-0
  • WHVentforet Kofu2-0
  • WHVerspah Oita7-1

Tochigi City

LLWWW9-4-7

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WAVegalta Sendai2-1
  • WASagan Tosu3-1
  • WHVanraure Hachinohe5-0
  • LAMontedio Yamagata0-2
  • LACerezo Osaka0-1

Managers

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Naoki Imaya

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.