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Torneo Federal A · Winners Stage - 5 · Argentina

San Martin Formosa v 9 de Julio Rafaela

2-1Full time· 17 De Octubre, Formosa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

San Martin Formosa v 9 de Julio Rafaela: the model read

San Martin Formosa meet 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal A winners stage - 5 at 17 De Octubre, Formosa.

San Martin Formosa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1500. Recent form leans San Martin Formosa, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors San Martin Formosa on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans San Martin Formosa at 57%; double chance reads San Martin Formosa or draw 70%, 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw 60%.

San Martin Formosa arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v 9 de Julio Rafaela, D 1-1 @ Gimnasia Chivilcoy, W 2-0 v Sportivo Belgrano, W 4-1 @ Douglas Haig.

9 de Julio Rafaela are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ San Martin Formosa, W 1-0 v Gimnasia Chivilcoy, D 1-1 @ Sportivo Belgrano, D 0-0 v Douglas Haig.

San Martin Formosa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Martin Formosa 2-1 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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San Martin Formosa

WWWDW12-4-4

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WH9 de Julio Rafaela2-1
  • DAGimnasia Chivilcoy1-1
  • WHSportivo Belgrano2-0
  • WADouglas Haig4-1
  • WHSol de América2-1

9 de Julio Rafaela

LDDWL7-6-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LASan Martin Formosa1-2
  • WHGimnasia Chivilcoy1-0
  • DASportivo Belgrano1-1
  • DHDouglas Haig0-0
  • LADouglas Haig1-2

Head-to-head

9 meetings

San Martin Formosarecord9 de Julio Rafaela
5
3
1 draw

Goals

14-8

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

San Martin Formosa

Recent
WWLWDL
Wins 5Goals 14-8

Biggest win 4-1

9 de Julio Rafaela

Recent
LLWLDW
Wins 3Goals 8-14

Biggest win 2-1

  • San Martin Formosa2-19 de Julio Rafaela
  • San Martin Formosa4-19 de Julio Rafaela
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela2-1San Martin Formosa
  • San Martin Formosa2-09 de Julio Rafaela
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela0-0San Martin Formosa
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela2-1San Martin Formosa
  • San Martin Formosa2-19 de Julio Rafaela
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela1-0San Martin Formosa
  • San Martin Formosa2-09 de Julio Rafaela

Managers

Marcelo Rubino

Head coach

In charge since 2026

M. Varela

Argentina · 53

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.