Where the market is wrong on Grêmio Anápolis v Goianésia
Grêmio Anápolis meet Goianésia in the Goiano - 2 regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Goianésia, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Goianésia on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Goianésia at 52%; double chance reads Grêmio Anápolis or draw 65%, Goianésia or draw 67%.
Grêmio Anápolis arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Goianésia, W 1-0 v Mineiros, L 0-2 @ Bom Jesus EC, D 1-1 v Tupy FC.
Goianésia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Grêmio Anápolis, W 2-1 v Trindade, L 0-3 @ Rio Verde, W 2-1 v Morrinhos.
Goianésia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grêmio Anápolis 1-2 Goianésia.
The market prices GRÊ at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Grêmio Anápolis: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
