Búzios v Serra Macaense: the model read
Búzios meet Serra Macaense in the Carioca B2 group stage - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Serra Macaense, 60% against 42%. Attacking output favors Búzios on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Búzios arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Serra Macaense, L 0-3 @ Santa Cruz RJ, L 0-3 v Cardoso Moreira, L 1-3 @ Rio de Janeiro.
Serra Macaense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Búzios, L 1-2 v Paduano, D 2-2 @ 7 de Abril, L 0-1 v Friburguense.
Serra Macaense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Búzios 0-2 Serra Macaense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output