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Livorno v Empoli

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Livorno v Empoli: the model read

Livorno meet Empoli in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Livorno, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Livorno on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Livorno at 54%; double chance reads Livorno or draw 68%, Empoli or draw 63%.

Livorno arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Pineto, W 2-1 v Torres, W 3-1 v Reggiana, D 1-1 v Empoli.

Empoli are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.

Empoli hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Livorno 1-1 Empoli.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Livorno

WDWWD8-6-6

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DAPineto0-0
  • WHTorres2-1
  • WHReggiana3-1
  • DHEmpoli1-1
  • WHCittadella Vis Modena2-1

Empoli

DDDWL4-9-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LAMantova1-3
  • WHCremonese1-0
  • DAPisa1-1
  • DALivorno1-1
  • DHSpezia1-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

LivornorecordEmpoli
0
1
2 draws

Goals

2-4

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Livorno

Recent
DLD
Wins 0Goals 2-4

Empoli

Recent
DWD
Wins 1Goals 4-2

Biggest win 2-0

  • Livorno1-1Empoli
  • Livorno0-2Empoli
  • Empoli1-1Livorno

Managers

P. Indiani

Italy · 71

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Arezzo2022–2024
  • San Donato Tavarnelle2020–2022
  • Pistoiese2017–2018
  • Pontedera2012–2017

Fabio Caserta

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.