Sarasota Paradise v Portland Hearts of Pine: the model read
Sarasota Paradise meet Portland Hearts of Pine in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Portland Hearts of Pine the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% SAR, 29% draw, 41% POR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 42%. Attacking output favors Portland Hearts of Pine on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Portland Hearts of Pine at 58%; double chance reads Sarasota Paradise or draw 59%, Portland Hearts of Pine or draw 70%.
Sarasota Paradise arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Portland Hearts of Pine, L 0-5 v Miami FC, D 0-0 @ Greenville Triumph, D 0-0 @ Richmond Kickers.
Portland Hearts of Pine are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Sarasota Paradise, L 1-2 v Union Omaha, L 1-2 @ Boise, D 1-1 v NY Cosmos.
Sarasota Paradise hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Sarasota Paradise.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
