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Grosseto v San Donato Tavarnelle

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Grosseto v San Donato Tavarnelle: the model read

Grosseto meet San Donato Tavarnelle in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Grosseto the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% GRO, 33% draw, 25% SAN.

Grosseto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1400. Recent form leans Grosseto, 58% against 35%. Attacking output favors Grosseto on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Grosseto at 63%; double chance reads Grosseto or draw 75%, San Donato Tavarnelle or draw 58%.

Grosseto arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Desenzano Calvina, L 2-3 v Ostia Mare, W 3-0 @ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, L 0-2 v San Donato Tavarnelle.

San Donato Tavarnelle are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Seravezza, W 2-0 @ Grosseto, W 1-0 v Foligno Calcio, W 1-0 v Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.

Grosseto hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grosseto 0-2 San Donato Tavarnelle.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Grosseto

LLWLW9-4-6

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WADesenzano Calvina1-0
  • LHOstia Mare2-3
  • WAGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano3-0
  • LHSan Donato Tavarnelle0-2
  • LAPrato0-1

San Donato Tavarnelle

LWWWD3-8-9

Scored 0.75 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 35%

  • DHSeravezza1-1
  • WAGrosseto2-0
  • WHFoligno Calcio1-0
  • WHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1-0
  • LACannara0-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

GrossetorecordSan Donato Tavarnelle
5
2
1 draw

Goals

9-4

for each

Avg goals

1.6

per game

BTTS

13%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Grosseto

Recent
LWWDWW
Wins 5Goals 9-4

Biggest win 4-0

San Donato Tavarnelle

Recent
WLLDLL
Wins 2Goals 4-9

Biggest win 2-0

  • Grosseto0-2San Donato Tavarnelle
  • San Donato Tavarnelle0-1Grosseto
  • Grosseto2-1San Donato Tavarnelle
  • Grosseto0-0San Donato Tavarnelle
  • San Donato Tavarnelle0-1Grosseto
  • San Donato Tavarnelle0-1Grosseto
  • Grosseto0-1San Donato Tavarnelle
  • Grosseto4-0San Donato Tavarnelle

Managers

A. Maurizi

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 5 clubs managed

  • Viterbese2020–2021
  • Teramo2018–2019
  • Reggiana2017–2018
  • Lupa Roma2016–2016

L. Magrini

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 2 clubs managed

  • Grosseto2020–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.