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Atletico Madrid v Getafe

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atletico Madrid v Getafe: the model read

Atletico Madrid meet Getafe in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Getafe the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% ATL, 32% draw, 40% GET.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Getafe, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Atletico Madrid on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Getafe at 59%; double chance reads Atletico Madrid or draw 60%, Getafe or draw 72%.

Atletico Madrid arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Villarreal, W 1-0 v Girona, W 2-1 @ Osasuna, L 0-1 v Celta Vigo.

Getafe are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Valladolid, W 2-1 @ Tenerife, W 1-0 v Reading, W 1-0 v Osasuna.

Atletico Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atletico Madrid

LLWWL8-2-10

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LAVillarreal1-5
  • WHGirona1-0
  • WAOsasuna2-1
  • LHCelta Vigo0-1
  • LAArsenal0-1

Getafe

LWWWD11-3-6

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 20%

  • DAValladolid0-0
  • WATenerife2-1
  • WHReading1-0
  • WHOsasuna1-0
  • LAElche0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Atletico MadridrecordGetafe
7
1
2 draws

Goals

22-7

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Atletico Madrid

Recent
WWLWWW
Wins 7Goals 22-7

Biggest win 5-0

Getafe

Recent
LLWLLL
Wins 1Goals 7-22

Biggest win 2-1

  • Atletico Madrid1-0Getafe
  • Getafe0-1Atletico Madrid
  • Getafe2-1Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid5-0Getafe
  • Atletico Madrid1-0Getafe
  • Getafe1-3Atletico Madrid
  • Getafe0-3Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid3-3Getafe
  • Atletico Madrid1-1Getafe
  • Getafe0-3Atletico Madrid

Managers

D. Simeone

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2011 · 7 clubs managed

  • Racing Club2011–2011
  • Catania2011–2011
  • San Lorenzo2009–2010
  • River Plate2007–2008
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.