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Chertsey Town v Chesham United

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chertsey Town v Chesham United: the model read

Chertsey Town meet Chesham United in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Chesham United the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% CHE, 27% draw, 41% CHE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 60%. Attacking output favors Chesham United on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Chesham United at 56%; double chance reads Chertsey Town or draw 59%, Chesham United or draw 68%.

Chertsey Town arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hampton & Richmond, W 2-0 v Wealdstone, W 4-1 @ Egham Town, W 1-0 v Hungerford Town.

Chesham United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 14 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 @ Basingstoke Town, D 2-2 @ Dover, L 0-2 v Chelmsford City, L 2-4 @ Bath City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chertsey Town

LWWWD9-5-5

Scored 1.84 · Conceded 1.58 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • DHHampton & Richmond1-1
  • WHWealdstone2-0
  • WAEgham Town4-1
  • WHHungerford Town1-0
  • LAWeymouth1-5

Chesham United

WLLDW11-2-7

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • WABasingstoke Town6-2
  • DADover2-2
  • LHChelmsford City0-2
  • LABath City2-4
  • WHSlough Town4-1

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.