Skip to content
Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies · World

Real Madrid v Leganes

· Ciudad Real Madrid

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Real Madrid v Leganes: the model read

Real Madrid meet Leganes in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Ciudad Real Madrid, undefined. The model makes Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% REA, 30% draw, 25% LEG.

Real Madrid rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1408. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Real Madrid on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Real Madrid at 64%; double chance reads Real Madrid or draw 75%, Leganes or draw 55%.

Real Madrid arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Athletic Club, W 1-0 @ Sevilla, W 2-0 v Oviedo, L 0-2 @ Barcelona.

Leganes are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Penafiel, D 0-0 @ Nacional, D 0-0 v Albacete, L 1-2 @ Levante.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Real Madrid

WLWWW12-2-6

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • WHAthletic Club4-2
  • WASevilla1-0
  • WHOviedo2-0
  • LABarcelona0-2
  • WAEspanyol2-0

Leganes

WLDDW4-7-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WAPenafiel2-0
  • DANacional0-0
  • DHAlbacete0-0
  • LALevante1-2
  • WHMirandes1-0

Managers

Xabi Alonso

Spain · 44

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • Bayer Leverkusen2022–2025
  • Real Sociedad B2019–2022

Borja Jiménez

Head coach

In charge since 2023 · 4 clubs managed

  • Deportivo La Coruna2021–2022
  • FC Cartagena2020–2020
  • Asteras Tripolis2019–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.