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Las Palmas v União de Leiria

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Las Palmas v União de Leiria: the model read

Las Palmas meet União de Leiria in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes União de Leiria the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% LAS, 30% draw, 36% UNI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors União de Leiria on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans União de Leiria at 51%; double chance reads Las Palmas or draw 64%, União de Leiria or draw 65%.

Las Palmas arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al-Ittihad FC, L 0-1 @ Orlando Pirates, D 1-1 @ Malaga, L 0-1 v Malaga.

União de Leiria are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v AD Marco 09, L 0-1 v Alverca, D 2-2 v Feirense, L 0-1 @ Vizela.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Las Palmas

WLDLL10-3-7

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LHAl-Ittihad FC1-2
  • LAOrlando Pirates0-1
  • DAMalaga1-1
  • LHMalaga0-1
  • WADeportivo La Coruna2-1

União de Leiria

LLDLW8-5-6

Scored 1.74 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 57.9%

  • WHAD Marco 092-0
  • LHAlverca0-1
  • DHFeirense2-2
  • LAVizela0-1
  • LHFarense0-3

Managers

Luis Carrión

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Oviedo2023–2024
  • FC Cartagena2021–2023
  • Numancia2019–2020
  • Melilla2018–2018

Silas

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Maritimo2024–2024
  • Mafra2023–2024
  • AEL2022–2022
  • Famalicao2021–2021

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.