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Marseille v Nice

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Marseille v Nice: the model read

Marseille meet Nice in the Friendlies Clubs club friendly.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Marseille on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Marseille arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Monaco, W 4-0 v Strasbourg, L 1-2 v Atletico Madrid, W 3-1 v Athletic Club.

Nice are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Paris FC, D 0-0 v Lorient, D 0-0 @ Hull City, D 0-0 @ Cagliari.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Marseille 0-3 Nice.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Marseille

WWLWL9-3-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • LAMonaco0-2
  • WHStrasbourg4-0
  • LHAtletico Madrid1-2
  • WHAthletic Club3-1
  • WHNimes2-1

Nice

LDDDL5-9-6

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 35%

  • LAParis FC0-3
  • DHLorient0-0
  • DAHull City0-0
  • DACagliari0-0
  • LAJuventus0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MarseillerecordNice
4
4
2 draws

Goals

16-14

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Marseille

Recent
LDWLWD
Wins 4Goals 16-14

Biggest win 5-1

Nice

Recent
WDLWLD
Wins 4Goals 14-16

Biggest win 3-0

  • Marseille0-3Nice
  • Marseille1-1Nice
  • Nice1-5Marseille
  • Nice2-0Marseille
  • Marseille2-0Nice
  • Marseille2-2Nice
  • Nice1-0Marseille
  • Marseille1-3Nice
  • Nice0-3Marseille
  • Marseille2-1Nice

Managers

Bruno Genesio

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Lille2025–2026

O. Pantaloni

France · 59

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Ajaccio II2023–2023
  • Ajaccio2014–2024
  • Tours2013–2014
  • Ajaccio2009–2012

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.