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USA W v Spain W

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Match analysisPre-match brief

USA W v Spain W: the model read

USA W meet Spain W in the Friendlies Women friendly international women.

The baseline ratings are close, 1771 to 1799, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 84% against 90%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 2.7 per match.

USA W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Brazil W, L 1-2 @ Brazil W, W 3-0 v Japan W, L 0-1 v Japan W.

Spain W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Spain W 2-0 USA W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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USA W

WLWLW16-0-3

Scored 2.74 · Conceded 0.37 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 21.1%

  • WABrazil W1-0
  • LABrazil W1-2
  • WHJapan W3-0
  • LHJapan W0-1
  • WHJapan W2-1

Spain W

WLWWW17-2-1

Scored 3.20 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAIceland W6-1
  • WHEngland W4-0
  • WHUkraine W5-0
  • LAEngland W0-1
  • WAUkraine W3-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

USA WrecordSpain W
1
1
0 draws

Goals

2-3

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

USA W

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 2-1

Spain W

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-0

  • Spain W2-0USA W
  • Spain W1-2USA W

Managers

Emma Hayes

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Sonia Bermudez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.