Where the market is wrong on Tijuana W v Pachuca W
Tijuana W meet Pachuca W in the Liga MX Femenil regular season - 6 at Estadio Caliente, Tijuana.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Tijuana W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Tijuana W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ América W, L 0-2 @ Atlas W, W 5-1 v Necaxa W, L 1-2 @ Atlético San Luis W.
Pachuca W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Tigres UANL W, W 3-1 v Guadalajara W, W 3-1 v Pumas UNAM W, D 1-1 @ Atlas W.
Pachuca W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pachuca W 2-0 Tijuana W.
The market prices TIJ at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Tijuana W: a 14.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
