Where the market is wrong on Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hilal Saudi FC meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League regular season - 3 at Kingdom Arena, Riyadh.
The baseline ratings are close, 1722 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 82% against 70%. Attacking output favors Al-Hilal Saudi FC on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, W 3-0 @ Al-Fayha, W 2-0 @ Al-Raed, W 4-2 v Al-Faisaly FC.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Al Kholood, W 1-0 v Auckland, W 4-0 v Abha, W 2-1 @ Al Anwar.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
The market prices AL- at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Ahli Jeddah: a 11.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
