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Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 3 · Thailand

Satun v Muangthong United

3-0Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Satun v Muangthong United

Satun meet Muangthong United in the Thai League 2 regular season - 3.

Satun rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1598 to 1420. Recent form leans Satun, 61% against 38%. Attacking output favors Satun on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.

Satun arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Muangthong United, W 3-1 @ Songkhla, L 2-4 v Kanchanaburi, L 0-2 v Lamphun Warrior.

Muangthong United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Satun, W 2-1 v Nong Bua Pitchaya, D 0-0 @ Uttaradit, L 0-3 @ Sukhothai FC.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Satun 3-0 Muangthong United.

The market prices SAT at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Satun: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Satun

DLLWW5-1-3

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.33 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 55.6%

  • WHMuangthong United3-0
  • WASongkhla3-1
  • LHKanchanaburi2-4
  • LHLamphun Warrior0-2
  • DHMuang Trang United1-1

Muangthong United

DLDWL5-5-10

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LASatun0-3
  • WHNong Bua Pitchaya2-1
  • DAUttaradit0-0
  • LASukhothai FC0-3
  • DHBG Pathum United1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

SatunrecordMuangthong United
1
1
0 draws

Goals

4-3

for each

Avg goals

3.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Satun

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 4-3

Biggest win 3-0

Muangthong United

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 3-4

Biggest win 3-1

  • Satun3-0Muangthong United
  • Satun1-3Muangthong United

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.