Carrarese v Sampdoria: the model read
Carrarese meet Sampdoria in the Serie B regular season - 11 at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% CAR, 34% draw, 34% SAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sampdoria, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Carrarese on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Sampdoria at 51%; double chance reads Carrarese or draw 66%, Sampdoria or draw 68%.
Carrarese arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Napoli, L 1-2 @ Virtus Entella, D 0-0 v Cesena, L 0-3 @ Frosinone.
Sampdoria are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Cagliari, W 2-0 v Taverne, L 0-1 @ Reggiana, W 1-0 v Sudtirol.
Carrarese hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
