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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 · Italy

Cesena v Avellino

· Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cesena v Avellino: the model read

Cesena meet Avellino in the Serie B regular season - 7 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Avellino on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Avellino at 54%; double chance reads Cesena or draw 63%, Avellino or draw 68%.

Cesena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Virtus Entella, D 1-1 v Sampdoria, L 0-3 @ Sassuolo, D 0-0 @ Forli.

Avellino are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Torino.

Cesena hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Avellino 3-1 Cesena.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cesena

WDLDW5-8-7

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WAVirtus Entella2-1
  • DHSampdoria1-1
  • LASassuolo0-3
  • DAForli0-0
  • WHVis Pesaro3-0

Avellino

LDLLW9-3-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • WHVicenza Virtus3-0
  • LHArezzo1-2
  • LAMonza0-3
  • DHTorino1-1
  • LALazio3-6

Head-to-head

6 meetings

CesenarecordAvellino
3
1
2 draws

Goals

12-6

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Cesena

Recent
LWDWDW
Wins 3Goals 12-6

Biggest win 3-0

Avellino

Recent
WLDLDL
Wins 1Goals 6-12

Biggest win 3-1

  • Avellino3-1Cesena
  • Cesena3-0Avellino
  • Avellino1-1Cesena
  • Cesena3-1Avellino
  • Avellino1-1Cesena
  • Cesena3-0Avellino

Managers

Ashley Cole

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Davide Ballardini

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.