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Serie B · Regular Season - 6 · Italy

Padova v Carrarese

· Stadio Euganeo, Padova

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Padova v Carrarese: the model read

Padova meet Carrarese in the Serie B regular season - 6 at Stadio Euganeo, Padova.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Padova, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Padova on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Padova at 52%; double chance reads Padova or draw 67%, Carrarese or draw 65%.

Padova arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hellas Verona, W 1-0 @ Pisa, L 0-1 @ Udinese, D 3-3 @ Monza.

Carrarese are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ascoli, L 1-2 v Mantova, L 0-1 @ Torino, W 1-0 @ Virtus Entella.

Padova hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Padova 1-0 Carrarese.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Padova

WDLWD7-4-9

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DHHellas Verona1-1
  • WAPisa1-0
  • LAUdinese0-1
  • DAMonza3-3
  • WACittadella2-0

Carrarese

LWLLD4-6-10

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 40%

  • DAAscoli1-1
  • LHMantova1-2
  • LATorino0-1
  • WAVirtus Entella1-0
  • LANapoli0-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

PadovarecordCarrarese
1
0
1 draw

Goals

1-0

for each

Avg goals

0.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Padova

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

Carrarese

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 0-1
  • Padova1-0Carrarese
  • Carrarese0-0Padova

Managers

Roberto Breda

Head coach

In charge since 2026

A. Calabro

Italy · 49

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Virtus Francavilla2022–2023
  • Catanzaro2020–2021
  • Viterbese2019–2020
  • Viterbese2019–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.