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Serie B · Regular Season - 6 · Italy

Empoli v Palermo

· Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Empoli v Palermo: the model read

Empoli meet Palermo in the Serie B regular season - 6 at Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli.

Palermo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1444. Recent form leans Palermo, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Palermo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Palermo at 60%; double chance reads Empoli or draw 58%, Palermo or draw 72%.

Empoli arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.

Palermo are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Arezzo, W 1-0 v Juve Stabia, W 2-0 v Lecce, L 0-2 @ Juventus.

Empoli hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Palermo 3-2 Empoli.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Empoli

DDDWL4-9-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LAMantova1-3
  • WHCremonese1-0
  • DAPisa1-1
  • DALivorno1-1
  • DHSpezia1-1

Palermo

WLWWW10-5-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • WAArezzo3-2
  • WHJuve Stabia1-0
  • WHLecce2-0
  • LAJuventus0-2
  • WAMelbourne City2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

EmpolirecordPalermo
4
3
3 draws

Goals

16-11

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Empoli

Recent
LLWDLW
Wins 4Goals 16-11

Biggest win 4-0

Palermo

Recent
WWLDWL
Wins 3Goals 11-16

Biggest win 3-1

  • Palermo3-2Empoli
  • Empoli1-3Palermo
  • Empoli4-0Palermo
  • Palermo3-3Empoli
  • Palermo2-1Empoli
  • Empoli1-0Palermo
  • Empoli0-0Palermo
  • Palermo0-1Empoli
  • Palermo0-0Empoli
  • Empoli3-0Palermo

Managers

Fabio Caserta

Head coach

In charge since 2025

F. Inzaghi

Italy · 52

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Salernitana2023–2024
  • Reggina2022–2023
  • Brescia2021–2022
  • Benevento2019–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.