Where the market is wrong on Mantova v Pisa
Mantova meet Pisa in the Serie B regular season - 5 at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova.
Mantova rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Mantova, 68% against 28%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.
Mantova arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Pisa, W 2-0 v Sampdoria, D 1-1 @ Cesena, L 2-5 @ Palermo.
Pisa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Mantova, L 0-3 @ Fiorentina, L 1-4 v Virtus Entella, W 3-0 @ Juve Stabia.
Pisa hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mantova 2-2 Pisa.
The market prices MAN at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Mantova: a 18.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
