Where the market is wrong on Cremonese v Virtus Entella
Cremonese meet Virtus Entella in the Serie B regular season - 5 at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Cremonese on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Cremonese arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Cesena, W 3-1 v Padova, W 2-0 @ Parma, L 0-3 v Modena.
Virtus Entella are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Pisa, D 2-2 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Cesena, L 0-1 @ Sudtirol.
Cremonese hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Virtus Entella 0-2 Cremonese.
The market prices CRE at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Virtus Entella: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
