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Serie B · Regular Season - 4 · Italy

Sudtirol v Modena

· Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano

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Sudtirol v Modena: the model read

Sudtirol meet Modena in the Serie B regular season - 4 at Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Modena, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Modena on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 62%; double chance reads Sudtirol or draw 58%, Modena or draw 74%.

Sudtirol arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benevento, W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Catanzaro, W 1-0 v Virtus Verona.

Modena are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cremonese, W 2-1 @ Benevento, L 2-3 @ Venezia, D 0-0 v Vis Pesaro.

Modena hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sudtirol 1-1 Modena.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sudtirol

DWDWD3-10-7

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DABenevento1-1
  • WHVirtus Entella1-0
  • DACatanzaro2-2
  • WHVirtus Verona1-0
  • DH1. FC Kaiserslautern0-0

Modena

WDLWW7-4-7

Scored 1.39 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 44.4%

  • WACremonese3-0
  • WABenevento2-1
  • LAVenezia2-3
  • DHVis Pesaro0-0
  • WATrento1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

SudtirolrecordModena
2
4
4 draws

Goals

6-9

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Sudtirol

Recent
DDDWLD
Wins 2Goals 6-9

Biggest win 2-0

Modena

Recent
DDDLWD
Wins 4Goals 9-6

Biggest win 2-0

  • Sudtirol1-1Modena
  • Modena0-0Sudtirol
  • Modena0-0Sudtirol
  • Sudtirol2-1Modena
  • Modena1-0Sudtirol
  • Sudtirol0-0Modena
  • Modena2-1Sudtirol
  • Sudtirol0-2Modena
  • Sudtirol0-2Modena
  • Sudtirol2-0Modena

Managers

F. Castori

Italy · 71

In charge since 2024 · 9 teams managed

  • Ascoli2023–2024
  • Perugia2022–2023
  • Perugia2022–2022
  • Salernitana2020–2021

A. Sottil

Italy · 51

In charge since 2025 · 12 teams managed

  • Sampdoria2024–2024
  • Salernitana2024–2024
  • Udinese2022–2023
  • Ascoli2020–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.