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Serie B · Regular Season - 4 · Italy

Padova v Ascoli

· Stadio Euganeo, Padova

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Padova v Ascoli: the model read

Padova meet Ascoli in the Serie B regular season - 4 at Stadio Euganeo, Padova.

Ascoli rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1477. Recent form leans Ascoli, 66% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ascoli on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Ascoli at 65%; double chance reads Padova or draw 54%, Ascoli or draw 75%.

Padova arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hellas Verona, W 1-0 @ Pisa, L 0-1 @ Udinese, D 3-3 @ Monza.

Ascoli are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Carrarese, W 2-1 @ Hellas Verona, L 1-4 @ Genoa, W 3-1 v Potenza.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Padova 1-2 Ascoli.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Padova

WDLWD7-4-9

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • DHHellas Verona1-1
  • WAPisa1-0
  • LAUdinese0-1
  • DAMonza3-3
  • WACittadella2-0

Ascoli

LWLWD11-3-5

Scored 1.63 · Conceded 0.89 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 52.6%

  • DHCarrarese1-1
  • WAHellas Verona2-1
  • LAGenoa1-4
  • WHPotenza3-1
  • LHLazio1-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

PadovarecordAscoli
1
1
0 draws

Goals

4-4

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Padova

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 4-4

Biggest win 3-2

Ascoli

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 4-4

Biggest win 2-1

  • Padova1-2Ascoli
  • Ascoli2-3Padova

Managers

Roberto Breda

Head coach

In charge since 2026

D. Di Carlo

Italy · 61

In charge since 2025 · 12 teams managed

  • Ascoli2024–2025
  • SPAL2024–2024
  • SPAL2023–2023
  • Pordenone2023–2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.