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Serie B · Regular Season - 4 · Italy

Empoli v Arezzo

· Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Empoli v Arezzo: the model read

Empoli meet Arezzo in the Serie B regular season - 4 at Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Arezzo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Arezzo at 56%; double chance reads Empoli or draw 61%, Arezzo or draw 69%.

Empoli arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.

Arezzo are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Palermo, W 2-1 @ Avellino, L 0-1 @ Cagliari, W 2-0 v Union Brescia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Empoli

DDDWL4-9-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • LAMantova1-3
  • WHCremonese1-0
  • DAPisa1-1
  • DALivorno1-1
  • DHSpezia1-1

Arezzo

DWLWL8-4-8

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • LHPalermo2-3
  • WAAvellino2-1
  • LACagliari0-1
  • WHUnion Brescia2-0
  • DAParma1-1

Managers

Fabio Caserta

Head coach

In charge since 2025

C. Bucchi

Italy · 48

In charge since 2025 · 11 teams managed

  • Ascoli2022–2023
  • Triestina2021–2022
  • Empoli2019–2019
  • Benevento2018–2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.