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Serie B · Regular Season - 3 · Italy

Cesena v Mantova

· Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cesena v Mantova: the model read

Cesena meet Mantova in the Serie B regular season - 3 at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.

Mantova rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1454. Recent form leans Mantova, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Mantova at 66%; double chance reads Cesena or draw 52%, Mantova or draw 75%.

Cesena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Virtus Entella, D 1-1 v Sampdoria, L 0-3 @ Sassuolo, D 0-0 @ Forli.

Mantova are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Empoli, W 2-1 @ Carrarese, W 2-0 @ Lazio, L 0-1 v Athletic Carpi.

Cesena hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mantova 3-0 Cesena.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cesena

WDLDW5-8-7

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WAVirtus Entella2-1
  • DHSampdoria1-1
  • LASassuolo0-3
  • DAForli0-0
  • WHVis Pesaro3-0

Mantova

WLWWW13-2-5

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHEmpoli3-1
  • WACarrarese2-1
  • WALazio2-0
  • LHAthletic Carpi0-1
  • WALegnago Salus3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

CesenarecordMantova
6
3
1 draw

Goals

18-15

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

90%

3+ goals

Cesena

Recent
LWWLWW
Wins 6Goals 18-15

Biggest win 4-0

Mantova

Recent
WLLWLL
Wins 3Goals 15-18

Biggest win 3-0

  • Mantova3-0Cesena
  • Cesena3-2Mantova
  • Mantova1-2Cesena
  • Mantova3-0Cesena
  • Cesena4-2Mantova
  • Mantova1-2Cesena
  • Cesena1-2Mantova
  • Cesena2-1Mantova
  • Cesena0-0Mantova
  • Mantova0-4Cesena

Managers

Ashley Cole

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Francesco Modesto

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.