Carrarese v Empoli: the model read
Carrarese meet Empoli in the Serie B regular season - 3 at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. The model makes Carrarese the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CAR, 32% draw, 32% EMP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Carrarese on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Carrarese at 53%; double chance reads Carrarese or draw 68%, Empoli or draw 64%.
Carrarese arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Napoli, L 1-2 @ Virtus Entella, D 0-0 v Cesena, L 0-3 @ Frosinone.
Empoli are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Monza, W 1-0 v Avellino, L 0-2 @ Venezia.
Carrarese hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Carrarese 3-0 Empoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
