Benevento v Sudtirol: the model read
Benevento meet Sudtirol in the Serie B regular season - 2 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. The model makes Benevento the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% BEN, 29% draw, 20% SUD.
Benevento rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1408. Recent form leans Benevento, 80% against 40%. Attacking output favors Benevento on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Benevento at 72%; double chance reads Benevento or draw 80%, Sudtirol or draw 49%.
Benevento arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Ostia Mare, W 4-1 @ Vicenza Virtus, W 1-0 v Arezzo, D 2-2 v Audace Cerignola.
Sudtirol are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, D 0-0 v Bari, D 0-0 @ Bari, D 1-1 v Juve Stabia.
Sudtirol hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Benevento 0-2 Sudtirol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
