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Serie B · Regular Season - 1 · Italy

Sudtirol v Virtus Entella

1-0Full time· Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano· Referee: M. Caputi

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sudtirol v Virtus Entella: the model read

Sudtirol meet Virtus Entella in the Serie B regular season - 1 at Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Virtus Entella on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Virtus Entella at 50%; double chance reads Sudtirol or draw 67%, Virtus Entella or draw 67%.

Sudtirol arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benevento, W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Catanzaro, W 1-0 v Virtus Verona.

Virtus Entella are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Cesena, L 0-1 @ Sudtirol, D 2-2 @ Hellas Verona, L 0-1 v Carrarese.

Sudtirol hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sudtirol 1-0 Virtus Entella.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sudtirol

DWDWD3-10-7

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DABenevento1-1
  • WHVirtus Entella1-0
  • DACatanzaro2-2
  • WHVirtus Verona1-0
  • DH1. FC Kaiserslautern0-0

Virtus Entella

WLDLL6-3-11

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 45%

  • LHCesena1-2
  • LASudtirol0-1
  • DAHellas Verona2-2
  • LHCarrarese0-1
  • WHNovara2-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

SudtirolrecordVirtus Entella
2
1
1 draw

Goals

4-3

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Sudtirol

Recent
WLDW
Wins 2Goals 4-3

Biggest win 1-0

Virtus Entella

Recent
LWDL
Wins 1Goals 3-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Sudtirol1-0Virtus Entella
  • Sudtirol0-1Virtus Entella
  • Virtus Entella1-1Sudtirol
  • Virtus Entella1-2Sudtirol

Managers

F. Castori

Italy · 71

In charge since 2024 · 9 teams managed

  • Ascoli2023–2024
  • Perugia2022–2023
  • Perugia2022–2022
  • Salernitana2020–2021

A. Chiappella

Italy · 38

In charge since 2025 · 2 teams managed

  • Giana Erminio2023–2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.